Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.032754 0.035701 0.038658 0.041841 0.045165 0.048530 0.052186
2026-02-08 0.027928 0.032273 0.036767 0.041741 0.047070 0.052588 0.058715
2026-02-15 0.025134 0.030579 0.036361 0.042907 0.050063 0.057606 0.066115
2026-02-22 0.022774 0.029069 0.035914 0.043820 0.052613 0.062018 0.072765
2026-03-01 0.020571 0.027503 0.035215 0.044285 0.054531 0.065630 0.078453
2026-03-08 0.018587 0.026004 0.034437 0.044525 0.056081 0.068742 0.083510
2026-03-15 0.017319 0.025226 0.034388 0.045508 0.058394 0.072643 0.089391
2026-03-22 0.015276 0.023361 0.032941 0.044765 0.058645 0.074152 0.092533
2026-03-29 0.013985 0.022325 0.032402 0.045013 0.059979 0.076837 0.096954
2026-04-05 0.013024 0.021634 0.032222 0.045640 0.061710 0.079943 0.101825
2026-04-12 0.012043 0.020845 0.031867 0.046007 0.063101 0.082627 0.106190
2026-04-19 0.010315 0.018945 0.030029 0.044493 0.062192 0.082597 0.107395
2026-04-26 0.009128 0.017724 0.029025 0.043996 0.062514 0.084027 0.110332
2026-05-03 0.008177 0.016768 0.028318 0.043835 0.063216 0.085891 0.113765
2026-05-10 0.007806 0.016628 0.028672 0.045004 0.065534 0.089663 0.119429
2026-05-17 0.007378 0.016369 0.028845 0.045927 0.067542 0.093064 0.124657
2026-05-24 0.006828 0.015884 0.028684 0.046398 0.068976 0.095771 0.129066
2026-05-31 0.006248 0.015307 0.028364 0.046641 0.070110 0.098106 0.133027
2026-06-07 0.005953 0.015164 0.028636 0.047648 0.072192 0.101577 0.138331
2026-06-14 0.005155 0.014123 0.027594 0.046885 0.072023 0.102310 0.140370
2026-06-21 0.004711 0.013643 0.027331 0.047140 0.073125 0.104573 0.144223
2026-06-28 0.004404 0.013379 0.027365 0.047782 0.074711 0.107419 0.148766
2026-07-05 0.004052 0.013002 0.027213 0.048159 0.075948 0.109834 0.152789